What is betvirus.com BVTOOL subscription service?
Basically BVTOOL can count what has been done in the past (since 2009, although the match database of betvirus.com started before 2004) based on the criteria that we define our “question” (Time, League, Outcome, type of “Match Evaluation” and “from-to probability”. Of course the BVTOOL “answer” is centralized in the results in this form (i.e.):
-285 Home Wins in 491 Matches, that means 58% or 1.70 “value Home Win odd”.
-109 Draws in 491 Matches, that means 22% or 4.50 “value Draws odd”.
-97 Away Wins in 491 Matches, that means 20% or 5.0 “value Away Wins odd”
-225 Under 2.5 goals in 491 Matches, that means 46% or 2.20 “value Under 2.5 odd”
-266 Over 2.5 goals in 491 Matches, that means 54% or 1.90 “Value Over 2.5 Odd”
…In response to our question: In “ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE” from “JANUARY 2009 to SEPTEMBER 2015” and betvirus.com Match Evaluation Type “FORM” in Outcome “1” with given probability before the start of the matches “FROM 50%” “TO 60%” what are the results for each outcome? (“1”, “X”, “2”, “Under 2.5” “Over 2.5”)
As you understand you can experiment with countless combinations in BVTOOL to understand if your likely bet has value based on offered odd from your bookmaker. Of course the statistical analysis (even the best such BVTOOL)is not everything in football betting as there are other parameters that should always take into consideration before placing a bet as i.e. relations between clubs, the matches preview and the teams news such absences and injuries, the clubs motivation they have in any season and much more.
Regarding BVTOOL , you have at your disposal as betvirus subscribers the best (and the only you will ever need) statistical tool for your favorite game.
Happy value bet hunting!!!
4. BEST BETVIRUS.COM MATCH EVALUATION FILTERING, FULL ACCESS.
In this section you can view the match evaluation for each final result as it calculated from the previous results of both teams. This isn’t actually a match prediction (at least not in the full sense of the word) but it helps the player to formulate a first opinion for the match he is interested in.
But how is this percentage emerged ?
We are summing the previous wins of the home team with the previous loses of the away team and then we raise this result to the sum of the games that the two teams have played so far for the league that holds the current event. The percentage we get corresponds to the Home win result.
With the same way the loses of the home team with the wins of the away team gives us a percentage for the Away win result and also the draws of both teams (always raised to the sum of the games that both have played so far) can lead us to a percentage that corresponds to the Draw result.
We must notice that for the best performance of this tool, the match evaluation section exists only if each of the teams have played at least seven games for the current league. The match evaluation is also available for the past games (through their pages).
Form, In-Out and Over-Under 2,5 Evaluation.
As we explained before, the match evaluation comes up from the centage 1-Χ-2 for the home and the away team With the exact same way we calculate the “Form” and the “In-Out Evaluation” with the difference that now we calculate only the last five games (Form) and the overall performance of each teams (also each team must have played at least seven games for its basic league) for the in and out results (home – away): The in results for the home team and the out results for the away team.
With this way you can have an overall view for the performance of each team because it is well known that the performance of a team differs a lot in the home and the away matches.
At last, we integrated in this section an evaluation of the Over – Under betting (Over 2.5: Three or more goals in a final result. Under 2.5: Two or less goals in a final result) summing in each case the over results of the home team from the in games and the over results of the away team from the out games. This procces works reversely for the under results.
We remind to you that this section is not a prediction tool but can help you to pass an opinion for the current performance of each team.
5. BETVIRUS RATES DAY FILTERING, FULL ACCESS.
The BVRATES percentages for 1X2 and Under-Over 2.5 goals are calculated based on each “Match Evaluation” Unit with a unique betvirus math formula. This is essentially a grouping for 4 different “Match Evaluation” unit: Form-Form In Out-Total-Total In Out so we can have an aggregated estimate for match outcome prediction in 100% scale.
BVRATES also is a very strong first estimate if an outcome is “value” bet comparing to each time offered odds from bookmakers. The definitive answer to this question “value or not value bet” (based only on statistical analysis) comes with the use of powerful statistical tool BVTOOL*.
As you can see in some matches colors in BVRATES page appearing on the background of the result rates of some bvrates. The colors are meant to highlight the matches that are a value bet. A value bet is considered when the probability of a result given by bvrates is much larger from the average probability that bookmakers are giving (through their odds) on each game.
Orange color when the probability is greater than 5%
Green when the probability is greater than 15%